We published on our main news feed a summary of our estimated coverage for Surrey if the Superfast Surrey project were to build on existing fibre based broadband coverage and enable every green street cabinet in the county. Some were interested in some variations in the results and here they are.

Broadband Speed Estimates for Surrey
Speed Range FTTC + Cable + ADSL2+ FTTC + ADSL2+ FTTC Only
2 Mbps or slower 1% 2.4% 3.9%
2 Mbps to 5 Mbps 0.5% 1.1% 0.7%
5 Mbps to 10 Mbps 0.8% 1.6% 1.6%
10 Mbps to 20 Mbps 2% 5% 4.1%
20 Mbps to 30 Mbps 0.9% 5.2% 5%
30 Mbps to 38 Mbps 10% 19% 19%
38 Mbps to 45 Mbps 8.9% 36.8% 36.8%
45 Mbps to 65 Mbps 2.2% 11% 11%
65 Mbps to 80 Mbps 3.3% 17.9% 17.9%
152 Mbps, Virgin Media cable 70% N/A N/A

There are a number of caveats to these figures, mainly that we know that some native FTTP (i.e. available at the same pricing as FTTC services) is being deployed in Surrey and also that a number of EO lines are being addressed so that FTTC based services will also be available.  This is likely to improve the headline figure which is that we estimate 94.7% of Surrey premises will get superfast broadband and if you factor in our fairly pessimistic crosstalk environment and its impact on speed versus range estimates for FTTC the chances of the county breaking the 95% superfast target which the Government has set for 2017 is very high.

If we ignore the Virgin Media (FTTN) cable deployment, it is interesting to see that our figures estimate 89.9% would get speeds of 30 Mbps or faster

Of course for those who are probably just going to get the slower speeds this is not the best of news, but when the central Government set a 2 Mbps for all and 90% at superfast speeds target back in 2010 it was clear there was always going to be a slow lane. What has changed since 2010 is that people are coming to realise what 90% means in the real world.

Since we have the estimated speeds for ADSL2+ across Surrey we thought we would publish the table to show the sort of change FTTC is providing.

ADSL2+ Speed % of premises
Zero 3.1%
1 Mbps 1.5%
2 Mbps 2.4%
3 Mbps 3.9%
5 Mbps 6.5%
8 Mbps 9.7%
11 Mbps 11.8%
14 Mbps 14.3%
17 Mbps 16.9%
20 Mbps 27.7%
24 Mbps 2.3%

In theory it should be possible to publish a list of the postcodes where even after the Superfast Surrey project has completed slow speeds will still be the order of the day, but before labelling a postcode as slow we would want to take time investigating what might happen e..g. is FTTP being deployed to the area or if a long EO cluster is a cabinet being added as part of the project.

We have the data for the other counties and will publish a summary of them all in due course and if and when any of the projects declare themselves as complete we will be there working to check what was deployed and available to order.

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